Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.008379 0.009920 0.011785 0.014247 0.017472 0.021641 0.027595
2025-03-30 0.006187 0.007898 0.010209 0.013677 0.018985 0.027258 0.042216
2025-04-06 0.005086 0.006809 0.009305 0.013399 0.020424 0.033127 0.061478
2025-04-13 0.004495 0.006252 0.008954 0.013732 0.022827 0.041838 0.095184
2025-04-20 0.004153 0.005979 0.008941 0.014572 0.026457 0.055489 0.163121
2025-04-27 0.003835 0.005677 0.008801 0.015112 0.029726 0.071180 0.280504
2025-05-04 0.003500 0.005291 0.008431 0.015089 0.031708 0.085407 0.456332
2025-05-11 0.003222 0.004961 0.008100 0.015049 0.033654 0.102062 0.783415
2025-05-18 0.002948 0.004603 0.007656 0.014647 0.034442 0.115646 1.286485
2025-05-25 0.002677 0.004218 0.007108 0.013880 0.033840 0.122711 1.898706
2025-06-01 0.002463 0.003919 0.006690 0.013340 0.033772 0.133162 3.152527
2025-06-08 0.002363 0.003817 0.006658 0.013748 0.037139 0.170727 11.751366
2025-06-15 0.002216 0.003630 0.006454 0.013767 0.039576 0.213440 115.577018
2025-06-22 0.002039 0.003368 0.006065 0.013214 0.039616 0.239854 33287.028378
2025-06-29 0.001904 0.003176 0.005801 0.012949 0.040782 0.285384 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001823 0.003083 0.005742 0.013266 0.044898 0.396131 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001779 0.003058 0.005833 0.014067 0.052304 0.653421 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001721 0.002997 0.005832 0.014582 0.058936 1.058765 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001640 0.002881 0.005681 0.014560 0.062419 1.510419 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001565 0.002773 0.005535 0.014522 0.065940 2.227449 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001482 0.002638 0.005309 0.014139 0.066686 2.892706 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001390 0.002480 0.005004 0.013408 0.064204 3.101244 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001314 0.002352 0.004769 0.012892 0.063201 3.643498 NaN